Wednesday, November 3, 2010
What about a Platoon?
I've already made a case for keeping Eddie around here, but I've been thinking more about it, and I really think now that the Jays should strongly consider a 1B Platoon with EE and Adam Lind. "Lindcarnacion" would provide average-above average defense, and their peripherals would be stellar.
Encarnacion is not a "Lefty Masher" but provides a solid .264/28Hr/90 Rbi total in 606 plate appearances against lefties in his career. Much better than Lind's .217/13/58 line in 510 plate appearances.
Lind has proven that Righties aren't an issue: .290/67/222 in 1482 plate appearances is impressive by any accounts. Encarnacion has put up a .254/72/247 line in 1834 PAs. That's only 5 Hrs and 25 Rbi extra despite almost an entire season's worth of extra ab's.
The other issue is Defense. Defense at 1B has never been a huge premium, and I'm of the opinion that Lyle Overbay was overrated at the position. That said, in some very small sample sizes, Lind's UZR/150 at 1B was 20.4. Encarnacion's -19.6 rating can only be explained by the fact that he only played ONE major league game there to date. Everyone knows that he has some deficiencies on defense at 3B, but at 1B, his arm is taken out of the equation. Fewer throws = fewer thrwoing errors.
I would expect this platoon to really help the team. I'm no expert, but based on Career norms, and some non-scientific projections by me, I believe that this platoon would provide 4.5-6.5 WAR at 1st base (combined total) For comparison, Lyle Overbay and his amazing defense has never been worth more than 2.6 WAR in any professional season. Other 1B to compare (2010 WAR): J Votto (7.4), Albert Pujols (7.3), Prince Fielder (4.1), Adrian Gonzalez (5.3), Ryan Howard (2.0), Miguel Cabrera (6.2), Paul Konerko (4.2), and Mark Teixera (3.5).
So by comparison, the Jays would bring that position overall to an elite level, assuming mediocre-below average defense. If Anthopoulos doesn't end up making a move, I'm more than comfortable with this platoon going into next season.