Tuesday, October 5, 2010
The Curios Case Of Edwin Encarnacion
There are so many topics to cover, so I chose to start here. Mostly, it's because I have an irrational fondness for the man who has become known as "E5."
He is definitely a non-tender candidate after the season-and-a-bit that he's had here in Toronto, but let's delve into things a bit deeper:
Despite playing in only 96 games this season, he managed to post a 1.8 WAR. (Fangraphs values his contributions at $7.2 Mill, which more than justifies his contract)
His 21 HR, pro-rated over 150 games (Which most hitters are able to start) could have been as high as 33.
For the 2008 Reds, he managed ot post a 1.9 WAR, which was his last season of full health as a starter.
Also of relevance is the fact that he will only be 28 next season. A fact that many people miss because he has been around the league for so long already.
As for his obvious shortcomings:
At third base, his defense is a boat anchor to his value. He has never had a positive UZR in his career at third. He hasn't hit for much of an average as a Blue Jay, but hit .289 with the 2007 Reds, so there is potential. He also doesn't take a walk.
So, what do the Jays do with him? He would likely get a modest raise if he is tendered a contract, somwhere in the $5-6 Mil range, which would be too large of a risk.
But, what if they non-tender him, and then bring him back at a more reasonable salary? If he would accept something like Jose Bautista's 2010 salary of $2.4M?
He has the flexibility to play 1B as well, or he could DH as Lind learns the trade at first. I hope that the Jays staff takes a serious look at bringing EE back for one more try.