tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post2368657076818181122..comments2023-10-21T06:30:24.161-07:00Comments on The 5th starter: A Toronto Blue Jays Blog: Excitement!The 5th Starterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00861020444773232925noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-26967432985126253732011-04-03T19:36:53.346-07:002011-04-03T19:36:53.346-07:00@ Mathesond: You are actually right, I understood ...@ Mathesond: You are actually right, I understood that that moneyball was generally opposed to base stealing.<br /><br />In case you were wondering why 80%: The average amount of runs scored (run expectancy) with a runner on first (no out) is about 0.953. if that runner moves to 2nd, no out, the average runs scored improves to about 1.189. This is about a 23% gain. Since the runner has a 20% chance of failure, there is a 3% gain on the play (percentage wise.)The 5th Starterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00861020444773232925noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-32246628887499790512011-04-03T08:38:25.826-07:002011-04-03T08:38:25.826-07:00I was under the impression that "Moneyball&qu...I was under the impression that "Moneyball" was opposed to getting caught stealing, but had no problems if the Sb success rate approached 80%.mathesondhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05841079316846305593noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-59989933215624200912011-04-03T06:14:59.320-07:002011-04-03T06:14:59.320-07:00The 5th starter...We'd love to offer you www.b...The 5th starter...We'd love to offer you www.bluejaysnest.com in The FanvsFan Network to cover your BlueJays on this season. If interested, shoot me an email at mph@fanvsfan.comMPHhttp://fanvsfan.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-90916012604826011802011-04-02T19:11:43.136-07:002011-04-02T19:11:43.136-07:00Thanks again for the mention!
Is there a small ch...Thanks again for the mention!<br /><br />Is there a small chance we've actually undervalued the team? Every team looks unbeatable when they're doing well on all facets. But still...<br /><br />Regardless, just like last year the Jays will be an exciting team to watch, at the very least!EthanDRhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00086122442914506270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-15223846557463602752011-04-02T18:54:17.018-07:002011-04-02T18:54:17.018-07:00I think just the threat of it gives them a mental ...I think just the threat of it gives them a mental edge that can't be accounted for. And it's exciting. Nobody has ever turned off a game because a runner was thrown out.The 5th Starterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00861020444773232925noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8099731744871892600.post-91104992788760683492011-04-02T18:43:41.202-07:002011-04-02T18:43:41.202-07:00It's great to see the Blue Jays being very agg...It's great to see the Blue Jays being very aggressive on the basepaths, but I just hope it isn't their downfall. Davis nearing getting picked off last night would have been a bad start, but luckily he hustled his way back in there.Ian Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01074587524873409802noreply@blogger.com